Eredivisie title race
Title, top-four and relegation odds · updated 11 October 2026
Feyenoord Rotterdam are the favourites for the Eredivisie title at 34%. The realistic contenders are Feyenoord Rotterdam (34%), PSV (28%), AZ (19%), FC Twente '65 (11%) and AFC Ajax (5%).
The top-four race is still open: Feyenoord Rotterdam 88%, PSV 85%, AZ 80%, FC Twente '65 58%.
At the bottom, the biggest relegation risks are ADO Den Haag 92%, Willem II Tilburg 92%, PEC Zwolle 42%, SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 19%.
Odds for every team
| Team | Pts | P | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord Rotterdam | 20 | 8 | 34% | 88% | <1% |
| PSV | 19 | 8 | 28% | 85% | <1% |
| AZ | 19 | 8 | 19% | 80% | <1% |
| FC Twente '65 | 17 | 8 | 11% | 58% | <1% |
| AFC Ajax | 15 | 8 | 5% | 36% | <1% |
| Fortuna Sittard | 14 | 8 | 2% | 24% | <1% |
| FC Groningen | 11 | 7 | 1% | 12% | <1% |
| SBV Excelsior | 11 | 7 | <1% | 10% | <1% |
| Go Ahead Eagles | 11 | 8 | <1% | 5% | <1% |
| SC Heerenveen | 9 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| NEC | 9 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 1% |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 6 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 16% |
| Telstar 1963 | 5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 19% |
| SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 19% |
| FC Utrecht | 5 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 18% |
| PEC Zwolle | 4 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 42% |
| ADO Den Haag | 2 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 92% |
| Willem II Tilburg | 2 | 7 | <1% | <1% | 92% |
How this works: each remaining match is simulated 500 times, using every team's points per game so far with a small home-advantage adjustment; the percentages are how often a team finished in that position. “Bottom 3” is the three lowest places in every league, whatever the league's real relegation rules. These are statistical estimates, not betting advice. More on our models.
Full Eredivisie table, fixtures and top scorers → · Latest round-up →