Championship title race
Title, top-four and relegation odds · updated 11 October 2026
Swansea City AFC are the favourites for the Championship title at 27%. The realistic contenders are Swansea City AFC (27%), Wolverhampton Wanderers FC (21%), Middlesbrough FC (14%), West Ham United FC (14%), West Bromwich Albion FC (6%) and Queens Park Rangers FC (6%).
The top-four race is still open: Swansea City AFC 69%, Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 67%, West Ham United FC 52%, Middlesbrough FC 52%.
At the bottom, the biggest relegation risks are Preston North End FC 86%, Burnley FC 85%, Derby County FC 66%, Cardiff City FC 22%.
Odds for every team
| Team | Pts | P | Title | Top 4 | Bottom 3 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea City AFC | 17 | 8 | 27% | 69% | <1% |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 14 | 7 | 21% | 67% | <1% |
| Middlesbrough FC | 15 | 8 | 14% | 52% | <1% |
| West Ham United FC | 15 | 8 | 14% | 52% | <1% |
| West Bromwich Albion FC | 14 | 8 | 6% | 33% | <1% |
| Queens Park Rangers FC | 13 | 8 | 6% | 27% | <1% |
| Stoke City FC | 13 | 8 | 3% | 21% | <1% |
| Bristol City FC | 13 | 8 | 3% | 21% | <1% |
| Charlton Athletic FC | 12 | 8 | 1% | 13% | <1% |
| Millwall FC | 11 | 8 | 1% | 9% | 1% |
| Southampton FC | 10 | 8 | 1% | 7% | 1% |
| Lincoln City FC | 11 | 8 | 1% | 8% | 1% |
| Birmingham City FC | 11 | 8 | 1% | 6% | 1% |
| Bolton Wanderers FC | 10 | 8 | 1% | 3% | 2% |
| Wrexham AFC | 10 | 8 | <1% | 3% | 4% |
| Blackburn Rovers FC | 9 | 8 | <1% | 1% | 5% |
| Watford FC | 8 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 14% |
| Cardiff City FC | 7 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 22% |
| Norwich City FC | 9 | 8 | <1% | 3% | 5% |
| Sheffield United FC | 9 | 8 | <1% | 2% | 5% |
| Portsmouth FC | 8 | 7 | <1% | 3% | 2% |
| Derby County FC | 5 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 66% |
| Preston North End FC | 4 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 86% |
| Burnley FC | 4 | 8 | <1% | <1% | 85% |
How this works: each remaining match is simulated 500 times, using every team's points per game so far with a small home-advantage adjustment; the percentages are how often a team finished in that position. “Bottom 3” is the three lowest places in every league, whatever the league's real relegation rules. These are statistical estimates, not betting advice. More on our models.
Full Championship table, fixtures and top scorers → · Latest round-up →