Match preview
Coritiba FBC host Grêmio FBPA in the Brazil Série A (matchday 32) on Monday 26 October at Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira.
Coritiba FBC are 10th in the table with 38 points from 29 games (W10 D8 L11, goal difference -10). Grêmio FBPA are 18th in the table with 31 points from 30 games (W7 D10 L13, goal difference -8). Coritiba FBC hold a 7 points advantage.
Coritiba FBC have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 5 and conceding 15. Grêmio FBPA have drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 5 and conceding 7.
Their only meeting in our data this season was Grêmio FBPA 1–0 Coritiba FBC on 26 Apr 2026.
The model leans towards Coritiba FBC: Coritiba FBC 42%, draw 26%, Grêmio FBPA 32%, with expected goals of 1.4–1.2 and 1–1 the single most likely scoreline. These are statistical estimates from this season's goals, not betting advice.
Breno Lopes (Coritiba FBC) has 8 goals in the competition this season. Carlos Vinícius (Grêmio FBPA) has 10 goals in the competition this season.
Win probability
Model estimate from each side's goals scored and conceded this season (expected goals 1.42 – 1.19), with a home-advantage adjustment. Not betting advice.
Form & table
Head-to-head
- 26 AprGrêmio FBPA 1–0 Coritiba FBC
Top scorers
- 8Breno Lopes
- 8Pedro Rocha
- 10Carlos Vinícius