EC Bahia host São Paulo FC in the Brazil Série A (matchday 33) on Thursday 29 October at Estádio Governador Roberto Santos.

EC Bahia are 5th in the table with 49 points from 30 games (W13 D10 L7, goal difference +8). São Paulo FC are 10th in the table with 39 points from 30 games (W11 D6 L13, goal difference 0). EC Bahia hold a 10 points advantage.

EC Bahia have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 7 and conceding 6. São Paulo FC have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 4 and conceding 7.

Their only meeting in our data this season was São Paulo FC 2–2 EC Bahia on 3 May 2026.

The model leans towards EC Bahia: EC Bahia 47%, draw 27%, São Paulo FC 26%, with expected goals of 1.4–1.0 and 1–0 the single most likely scoreline. These are statistical estimates from this season's goals, not betting advice.

Luciano Juba (EC Bahia) has 10 goals in the competition this season. Jonathan Calleri (São Paulo FC) has 10 goals in the competition this season.