Match preview
Santos FC host SE Palmeiras in the Brazil Série A (matchday 33) on Wednesday 28 October at Estádio Urbano Caldeira.
Santos FC are 8th in the table with 42 points from 30 games (W11 D9 L10, goal difference +1). SE Palmeiras are 2nd in the table with 63 points from 30 games (W18 D9 L3, goal difference +30). SE Palmeiras hold a 21 points advantage.
Santos FC have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 9 and conceding 7. SE Palmeiras have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 7 and conceding 1.
Their only meeting in our data this season was SE Palmeiras 1–1 Santos FC on 2 May 2026.
The model leans towards SE Palmeiras: Santos FC 23%, draw 24%, SE Palmeiras 53%, with expected goals of 1.0–1.7 and 1–1 the single most likely scoreline. These are statistical estimates from this season's goals, not betting advice.
Gabriel Barbosa (Santos FC) has 14 goals in the competition this season. José Manuel López (SE Palmeiras) has 9 goals in the competition this season.
Win probability
Model estimate from each side's goals scored and conceded this season (expected goals 1.01 – 1.68), with a home-advantage adjustment. Not betting advice.
Form & table
Head-to-head
- 2 MaySE Palmeiras 1–1 Santos FC
Top scorers
- 14Gabriel Barbosa
- 8Neymar
- 9José Manuel López
- 7Mauricio