Sparta Rotterdam host AFC Ajax in the Eredivisie (matchday 10) on Sunday 25 October at Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel.

Sparta Rotterdam are 12th in the table with 6 points from 8 games (W1 D3 L4, goal difference -7). AFC Ajax are 5th in the table with 15 points from 8 games (W4 D3 L1, goal difference +12). AFC Ajax hold a 9 points advantage.

Sparta Rotterdam have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 7 and conceding 15. AFC Ajax have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 14 and conceding 8.

The model leans towards AFC Ajax: Sparta Rotterdam 20%, draw 18%, AFC Ajax 62%, with expected goals of 1.5–2.6 and 1–2 the single most likely scoreline. These are statistical estimates from this season's goals, not betting advice.

Milan Zonneveld (Sparta Rotterdam) has 6 goals in the competition this season. Julian Brandt (AFC Ajax) has 4 goals in the competition this season.