Fortuna Sittard host SBV Excelsior in the Eredivisie (matchday 10) on Sunday 25 October at Fortuna Sittard Stadion.

Fortuna Sittard are 7th in the table with 14 points from 8 games (W4 D2 L2, goal difference -1). SBV Excelsior are 9th in the table with 11 points from 8 games (W3 D2 L3, goal difference +2). Fortuna Sittard hold a 3 points advantage.

Fortuna Sittard have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 9 and conceding 10. SBV Excelsior have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 9 and conceding 11.

The model sees it as finely balanced: Fortuna Sittard 42%, draw 22%, SBV Excelsior 37%, with expected goals of 1.9–1.8 and 1–1 the single most likely scoreline. These are statistical estimates from this season's goals, not betting advice.

Lequincio Zeefuik (Fortuna Sittard) has 3 goals in the competition this season. Irakli Yegoian (SBV Excelsior) has 3 goals in the competition this season.