Match preview
Olympique de Marseille host Le Havre AC in the Ligue 1 (matchday 8) on Sunday 25 October at Orange Vélodrome.
Olympique de Marseille are 17th in the table with 3 points from 5 games (W1 D0 L4, goal difference -1). Le Havre AC are 18th in the table with 2 points from 6 games (W0 D2 L4, goal difference -4). Olympique de Marseille hold a 1 point advantage.
Olympique de Marseille have won 1 and lost 4 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Le Havre AC have drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 4 and conceding 7.
The model leans towards Olympique de Marseille: Olympique de Marseille 49%, draw 26%, Le Havre AC 25%, with expected goals of 1.5–1.0 and 1–0 the single most likely scoreline. These are statistical estimates from this season's goals, not betting advice.
Amine Gouiri (Olympique de Marseille) has 4 goals in the competition this season. Mbwana Samatta (Le Havre AC) has 2 goals in the competition this season.
Win probability
Model estimate from each side's goals scored and conceded this season (expected goals 1.50 – 0.98), with a home-advantage adjustment. Not betting advice.
Form & table
Head-to-head
Top scorers
- 4Amine Gouiri
- 2Mbwana Samatta