AJ Auxerre host Le Mans FC in the Ligue 1 (matchday 8) on Sunday 25 October at Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps.

AJ Auxerre are 14th in the table with 6 points from 5 games (W2 D0 L3, goal difference -5). Le Mans FC are 12th in the table with 6 points from 6 games (W1 D3 L2, goal difference -2). The two are level on points.

AJ Auxerre have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 6 and conceding 11. Le Mans FC have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 8 and conceding 10.

The model sees it as finely balanced: AJ Auxerre 39%, draw 21%, Le Mans FC 39%, with expected goals of 1.9–1.9 and 1–1 the single most likely scoreline. These are statistical estimates from this season's goals, not betting advice.

Cameron Archer (AJ Auxerre) has 3 goals in the competition this season. Louis Mafouta (Le Mans FC) has 4 goals in the competition this season.