Match preview
Athletic Club host Getafe CF in the La Liga (matchday 10) on Sunday 25 October at San Mamés.
Athletic Club are 9th in the table with 8 points from 6 games (W2 D2 L2, goal difference +1). Getafe CF are 13th in the table with 8 points from 8 games (W2 D2 L4, goal difference -6). The two are level on points.
Athletic Club have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Getafe CF have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 3 and conceding 6.
The model leans towards Athletic Club: Athletic Club 52%, draw 29%, Getafe CF 19%, with expected goals of 1.3–0.7 and 1–0 the single most likely scoreline. These are statistical estimates from this season's goals, not betting advice.
Win probability
Model estimate from each side's goals scored and conceded this season (expected goals 1.30 – 0.66), with a home-advantage adjustment. Not betting advice.