Match preview
FC Barcelona host Real Madrid CF in the La Liga (matchday 10) on Sunday 25 October at Camp Nou.
FC Barcelona are 1st in the table with 24 points from 8 games (W8 D0 L0, goal difference +27). Real Madrid CF are 3rd in the table with 18 points from 8 games (W6 D0 L2, goal difference +11). FC Barcelona hold a 6 points advantage.
FC Barcelona have won 5 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 22 and conceding 5. Real Madrid CF have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 9 and conceding 6.
The model leans towards FC Barcelona: FC Barcelona 67%, draw 16%, Real Madrid CF 17%, with expected goals of 2.8–1.4 and 2–1 the single most likely scoreline. These are statistical estimates from this season's goals, not betting advice.
Raphinha (FC Barcelona) has 12 goals in the competition this season. Kylian Mbappé (Real Madrid CF) has 7 goals in the competition this season.
Win probability
Model estimate from each side's goals scored and conceded this season (expected goals 2.79 – 1.38), with a home-advantage adjustment. Not betting advice.
Form & table
Head-to-head
Top scorers
- 12Raphinha
- 7Lamine Yamal
- 4Fermín López
- 7Kylian Mbappé
- 3Jude Bellingham
- 2Carlos Espí