Match preview
CD Santa Clara host Sport Lisboa e Benfica in the Primeira Liga (matchday 9) on Monday 26 October at Cidade do Futebol.
CD Santa Clara are 4th in the table with 18 points from 8 games (W5 D3 L0, goal difference +8). Sport Lisboa e Benfica are 2nd in the table with 19 points from 8 games (W6 D1 L1, goal difference +17). Sport Lisboa e Benfica hold a 1 point advantage.
CD Santa Clara have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 8 and conceding 2. Sport Lisboa e Benfica have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5 games in this competition, scoring 13 and conceding 4.
The model sees it as finely balanced: CD Santa Clara 35%, draw 27%, Sport Lisboa e Benfica 38%, with expected goals of 1.2–1.3 and 1–1 the single most likely scoreline. These are statistical estimates from this season's goals, not betting advice.
Gonçalo Paciência (CD Santa Clara) has 5 goals in the competition this season. Vangelis Pavlidis (Sport Lisboa e Benfica) has 8 goals in the competition this season.
Win probability
Model estimate from each side's goals scored and conceded this season (expected goals 1.24 – 1.32), with a home-advantage adjustment. Not betting advice.
Form & table
Head-to-head
Top scorers
- 5Gonçalo Paciência
- 8Vangelis Pavlidis
- 5Gianluca Prestianni